Californians have voted early for weeks in the election to bring back Governor Gavin Newsom.
However, it is unclear how long it will take him to get a definitive answer as to whether he will continue to work.
According to election experts, depending on the number of early votes cast on Tuesday and the amount of direct votes cast, the calculation may be clear within hours of the vote ending at 8 pm Pacific time. However, if the race is tougher than expected, weeks can pass while the count is prolonged.
The recall attempt is a fact of the political life of the Governor of California. However, they usually don’t appear on ballots, and Californians just vote again to decide whether to expel the state’s top executives. It was in 2003 when Governor Gray Davis was recalled and replaced by Arnold Schwarzenegger. Since then, state voting rules and voters have changed significantly.
Due to safety concerns caused by the coronavirus pandemic, ballots were mailed early to all registered and active voters in the state in the 2020 elections. Voters can return the completed ballot by mail, deposit it in a secure drop box, vote early, or vote at the polling place on Tuesday.
Nearly 40% of registered voters have already voted, but many Republicans plan to vote directly because of concerns that Democratic-controlled state election authorities will tamper with ballots. Stated. According to a post-election survey in 2020, the system worked smoothly and there were no systematic fraudulent votes.
Early Democratic ballots outnumbered Republican ballots 2: 1 and said the overwhelming majority of voters from both parties would vote pollsters in line with party policy. Mr. Newsom is a Democrat, and so is about 46 percent of voters.
However, the margin is expected to shrink as Republican voters, who make up less than a quarter of registered voters, head for polls.
California is so large that it is notorious for its slow votes. According to California Secretary of State spokeswoman Jenna Dresner, the election law allows county authorities to open and process early ballots, but the results will be open to the public until the vote is over. You can’t.
There are 58 counties in California, each processing ballots differently. Results often land later in larger counties, such as Los Angeles County. Officers have 30 days to complete the official campaign and must submit a ballot with a postmark on the election day by mail to arrive. Certification counts are not scheduled until October 22nd.
Within hours of voting in some important areas, such as the Bay Area and Orange County, a significant partial count should be available. And California’s election mathematics should provide some powerful clues about the outcome, says Political Data Inc, a nonpartisan supplier of election data. Said Paul Mitchell, Vice President of.
With so many voters being Democrats, the higher the turnout, the more likely Newsom will be to beat the recall, he said. He said that Newsom’s proposed expulsion was mathematically almost impossible if the overall turnout reached 60%.