It was a political calculation. And on Monday Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will know if it was successful.
When Mr Trudeau announced a steep election two years earlier than planned last month, his aides seemed to want a higher approval rate for dealing with the pandemic to lead to a decisive victory. It lost in the last election of 2019.
But he characterized this call not as a political gambit, but as a crucial moment in the history of the country. For the next 36 days, he doesn’t seem to have persuaded many Canadians to look at it that way.
Instead, he continued to complain about holding elections, even though the coronavirus delta variant was straining hospitals in some areas. Trudeau’s opponents characterized his move as a reckless seize of power. Last weekend, Conservative leader and his main rival Erin O’Toole even called it a “non-Canadian.” If the campaign ultimately has some distinction, it can be the most annoying thing in recent memory.
Trudeau argued that, like his predecessor after World War II, he needed strong power from voters to defeat the pandemic and reset the country’s economy to a path to recovery. .. He avoided saying that directly, but the Liberal Party sought a majority of the seats in the House of Commons. In the 2019 election, voters denied it to the party. This means that Mr Trudeau had to rely on votes from the opposition to pass the legislation.
If the final vote proves to be accurate, Trudeau will be rejected again. The Liberal Party’s ranking dropped sharply at the start of the campaign, with only about 30 percent each statistically linked to conservatives.
“I wonder if the liberals are saying in their minds: Kimberly Spears, a political scientist at the University of Victoria in British Columbia, said,” If we are another. If it were to become a minority government of the Liberal Party, how long would it last? And how long would Trudeau last? “
Trudeau first came to power in 2015 by presenting himself as a new voice in politics with a new approach and fresh policies. He launched the campaign in third place behind the incumbent Conservative Party and the Central Left New Democratic Party. His victory was a surprise.
This time, instead of presenting a fresh vision, when he returns to the conservative government under Mr. Outur, he will have gun control, gun control, gender equality, climate change, child care, poverty reduction, and above all, pandemic. End and get the Canadians vaccinated.
“Mr. Trudeau does not confirm that travelers sitting by you and your children on the train or plane are vaccinated,” Trudeau said at a campaign rally in British Columbia last week. I did. “Mr. Outur is not leading, he is misleading.”
But at Mr. Outur, the prime minister encountered an enemy that was significantly different from the Conservative leaders in the previous two elections. To make the party more attractive, Mr. Outur, who took over the party about a year ago, created a 160-page platform that turned his back on many core Conservative positions, including opposition to the carbon tax. ..
And during the campaign, he overturned one of his important promises to lift the ban on 1,500 models of Mr Trudeau’s assault-style rifle. However, he continues to oppose compulsory vaccination and vaccine passports.
“I’m a new leader in a new style,” said Autour, a former Air Force helicopter navigator and legal counsel from Ontario, at the beginning of the campaign.
Analysts say the party is not the majority of the Liberal Party’s concentrated support for the most populous Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec, even though the candidates are statistically tied. Even so, it suggests getting the most seats. If that happened, Mr Trudeau would vote the country for $ 600 million, creating a parliament similar to the one he disbanded.