Escape from the Covid-19 restriction is no longer “irreversible”. The Prime Minister has created a package of new measures to be imposed in the UK if hospitalizations continue to increase in the coming months (Me Readers know this has been coming since last week).
He doesn’t want to do that. The daily number of cases fluctuates during the summer and is currently on a downward trend.
This good news has not been noticed by experts predicting the apocalyptic scene after the reopening on July 19th.
Boris Johnson’s hope is that, in addition to the mere threat of stricter rules, the desire to avoid getting sick keeps the most important R rate below 1 and contacts with others during the fall and winter. It is to encourage the people to limit.
Deploying booster jabs in half of the population and vaccination under the age of 16 should also help reduce infections and keep infected people away from hospitals.
Given the nightmare scenario of a complete collapse of the NHS, the number of hospitals has the greatest impact on the No. 10 mindset.
Sir Patrick Valence issued a chilling warning at a press conference on Downing Street on Tuesday. Whenever you need to take action, it’s better to “work harder than you think.” It sounded reminiscent of last fall, when Britain was hurt towards the second and then third blockades due to government inaction.
But this time it’s really different. When the number of cases is increasing, they are moving slower than before, and the minister is giving more time to divert if necessary.
Johnson keeps the ultimate threat of national blockage in his back pocket. But if he uses the other tools available at the right time, he doesn’t need it.