Saint Joseph’s at Dayton odds, picks and predictions

The Saint Joseph’s Hawks (6-7, 0-1 Atlantic-10) and Dayton Flyers (10-5, 2-0) clash Wednesday at UD Arena with the opening tip at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Saint Joseph’s vs. Dayton odds and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions, and bets.

Saint Joseph’s is coming off a stretch of 5 straight games at home. The Hawks are playing their 1st road game since Dec. 6. On Saturday as a +7, they lost to Saint Louis 83-78. SJU has won 5 in a row against the spread (ATS).

The Flyers also played on Saturday, beating Davidson 69-55 and covering a 4-point spread. A staunch UD defense held an opponent under 40% from the floor (36.8%) for the 10th time this season, and F DaRon Holmes II tallied 32 points in the road triumph.

Saint Joseph’s at Dayton odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: St. Joseph’s +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Dayton -1200 (bet $1200 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Saint Joseph’s +14.5 (-115) | Dayton -14.5 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Saint Joseph’s at Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Dayton 72, Saint Joseph’s 58

Moneyline

PASS. Nothing to see here.

Against the spread

PASS.

Dayton is a clear favorite here, but there is no value in going over 12.5 points. There isn’t enough coming back the other way either (would want 16-plus), so let’s investigate the O/U action.

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Over/Under

This game features fast-paced SJU against turtle-tempo UD. And even with Dayton’s well-known pace, the Under has thus far gone 9-6 in Flyers games.

When St. Joe’s plays slower teams, the Under has prevailed. Dayton often has loose handles on the ball for a quality team, so there is the threat of some transition triples building up for the visitors. But UD has a top-10 perimeter defense  — allowing a mere 26.9% accuracy mark — and the Hawks playing a road game for the 1st time in weeks could create some struggles in that area.

BACK THE UNDER 133.5 (-110).