Nio shares (NYSE: NIO) fell almost 4% last week (5 trading days) and remained down about 17% last month. The sale was driven primarily by macro factors such as China’s Evergrande crisis and rising bond yields, but in reality there was positive business news for Nio. Nio recently recorded higher-than-expected distribution growth, with EV sales of 24,439 units in the third quarter of 2021, surpassing the company’s guidance of 23,500 units, almost doubling last year. .. The company also delivered a total of 10,628 vehicles in September, setting a monthly record, an increase of 126% year-on-year. These growth rates are particularly promising as they are driven by the ongoing chip shortage that is damaging production across the automotive industry. So is Nio’s share price likely to fall further, or is it likely to increase profits? If you go with a historic performance, Equal chances of rising or falling Nio stocks After a 17% decrease last month (21 trading days), the following month.Check out our analysis Niostock Chance of Arise For more information.
That said, I think Nio is still very attractive to long-term investors. Nio shares are trading at a relatively high return of 10 times the 2021 consensus return, which should grow fairly quickly to this valuation. Consensus estimates indicate that sales will increase by about 120% this year and about 65% next year. The gross profit margin is also showing an increasing trend, increasing from about 8% in the second quarter of 202o to about 19% in the second quarter of 2021. So Nio should make a lot of money as it scales up. This could be a great entry point for investors, as stock prices have now fallen by about 37% year-to-date, down more than 45% from record highs.
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[9/22/2021] Evergrande Crisis knocks on Nio shares at 8% off, what’s next?
Nio shares (NYSE: NIO) fell about 8% last week (5 trading days) compared to the S & P 500, which fell about -2.4% over the same period. Inventories have also fallen by about 5.5% over the past month. Recently, there have been some developments that have hit Nio and other Chinese EV stocks. Last week, China’s Minister of Industry and Information Technology said there were “too many” EV players in the country. This could raise investors concerns that EV space could be further hampered by the Chinese state, given the big regulatory crackdown. Chinese internet company in recent months. Apart from this, there are concerns that the struggling Evergrande Group, China’s second-largest real estate developer, could default. The company clearly has about $ 300 billion in debt, and defaults could affect Chinese banks and credit markets and spread to other areas of the Chinese economy. Evergrande has also made significant investments in EV subsidiaries that have not previously shipped vehicles, which may also cause EV inventory overhangs.
But with Nio stocks moving -5.5% last month or so, is it going down or is it imminent? If you go with a historic performance, Equal chances of rising or falling Nio stocks Next month. Of the 279 shares that showed a 21-day decline of more than 5.5% in the last three years, 142 fell NIO shares in the following month (21 trading days). This historic pattern reflects 142 out of 279, which means that Nio’s inventory is about 51% likely to decline next month.View analysis Possibility of decrease in Nio stock For more information.
Calculation of “event probability” and “potential increase” using data from the last 3 years
- -Return of 7.9% or more in 168 out of 755 5 days. Of these 168 instances, 79 have increased inventories over the next five days.
- -120 out of 750 times have a 10-day return of 14% or more.Inventories of 63 of these 120 instances have increased over the next 10 days
- -279 out of 739 times have a 21-day return of 5.5% or more.Inventories of 137 of these 279 instances increased over the next 21 days
Predict average return on investment Nio Price Earnings Ratio: AI predicts average and excess returns for NIO after a decline or rise
Niostock Return (Recent) Comparison with Peer
- 5-day return: TSLA is the highest at -0.7%. NIO is the lowest at -7.9%
- 10-day return: TSLA is the highest at -1.8%. NIO is the lowest at -14%
- 21-day return: TSLA is the highest at 8.7%. NIO is the lowest at -5.5%
[9/8/2021] Nio is ready for a strong September. Are you buying stock?
Nio shares (NYSE: NIO) rose more than 7% last week (5 trading days) compared to the S & P 500, which was almost flat over the same period. Nio’s shipments were weak in August, down about 26% from July to about 5,880 units, but supply chain constraints will improve the situation. Nio’s quarterly guidance from 22,500 to 23,500 units in the third quarter of 2021 means that September deliveries could jump to more than 9,000 units, marking a monthly record. This may indicate that Nio is finally tackling the ongoing shortage of automotive semiconductors affecting production across the automotive industry. So will Nio stocks continue to rise or are they likely to fall? According to the Trefis machine learning engine, which analyzes historical stock price data, Nio shares are likely to rise or fall the following month.View analysis Possibility of rising Nio stocks For more information.
So are Nio stocks worth considering for long-term investors? I think so. Nio shares are trading at a relatively high return of 12 times the 2021 consensus return, which should grow fairly quickly to this valuation. Consensus estimates predict that sales will more than double this year and will grow by more than 65% in 2022. The company has several new launches scheduled for 2022, including the first sedan called the ET7, which is expected to offer a range of approximately 1,000 km (621 miles). Demand should hold up in the long run, as the Chinese government wants to source about 20% of new car sales from gasoline-free new energy vehicles after 2025. Nio’s pioneering advantage in China’s premium EV space, as well as investment in charging stations and related infrastructure, should give Nio an advantage as the market expands. Nio is also ready to be even more profitable in the future. Gross profit margin rose from about 8% in the second quarter of 202o to about 19% in the second quarter of 2021. This should help Nio’s revenue as revenue grows.
[7/28/2021] Will the Chinese government’s crackdown on tech companies affect Nio?
Nio, one of China’s most valuable electric vehicle companies, lost its share price by about 8% on Tuesday and remained down about 11% over the last week (5 trading days). This decline was due to increased sales of Chinese stocks as Chinese regulators continued to crack down on large corporations. Last weekend, authorities ordered a major Chinese online education provider to become a non-profit organization, banning funding from the public market. Chinese big tech companies are also being scrutinized. E-commerce giant Alibaba has recently been forced to shelve IPOs for affiliated financial firm ANT Group, but food delivery platforms such as Meituan also require the government to guarantee riders more income than above. So we are facing pressure. ..